Strength
Strength
|
58 17 7 Rank in State, Class, District |
669 19 Strength Momentum |
918 35.6(67) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/15 | Desert Academy !! | 0.001 | 612 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+3) | 830 | 60% | |
| 09/08/15 | Kirtland Central | 0.001 | 1050 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-2) | 544 | 16% | |
| 09/11/15 | at Rehoboth Christian | 0.005 | 739 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-2) | 565 | 39% | |
| 09/12/15 | at ATC | 0.007 | 442 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-2) | 567 | 72% | |
| 09/12/15 | at Robertson | 0.007 | 615 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-2) | 554 | 54% | |
| 09/15/15 | Bloomfield ? | 0.004 | 918 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-4) | 478 | 26% | |
| 09/17/15 | at Miyamura ?? | 0.011 | 675 | L 1- 6 | Expected (-5) | 431 | 47% | |
| 09/22/15 | at Bosque | 0.005 | 1185 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 419 | 7% | |
| 09/24/15 | at Grants | 0.046 | 561 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-3) | 527 | 59% | |
| 09/28/15 | at Hope Christian | 0.010 | 1392 | L 0-10 | Expected (-3) | 522 | 2% | |
| 10/01/15 | at Sandia Prep | 0.015 | 1273 | L 0-10 | Expected (-4) | 463 | 4% | |
| 10/05/15 | Bosque | 0.046 | 1185 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-2) | 559 | 9% | |
| 10/08/15 | Rehoboth Christian | 0.147 | 739 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-4) | 491 | 44% | |
| 10/15/15 | at Bloomfield | 0.334 | 918 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-1) | 604 | 22% | |
| 10/20/15 | at Kirtland Central | 0.527 | 1050 | L 0- 3 | Expected (+1) | 721 | 13% | |
| 10/22/15 | Sandia Prep | 0.118 | 1273 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-2) | 549 | 5% | |
| 10/23/15 | Hope Christian | 0.081 | 1392 | L 0- 9 | Expected (-2) | 555 | 3% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Navajo Prep actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 918, while
Navajo Prep's "weighted playing strength" is 620
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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